“Litecoin (LTC) fell more than four times as steeply as Bitcoin over the past month, dropping to $56.65, and the token now requires a 23.6% gain to reclaim the $70 mark,” noted 24/7 Wall St. analysts evaluating the altcoin’s prospects. After reaching a 90-day high of $72.55 in late September, LTC faced heavy selling pressure, though the coin still holds above its key 200-day moving average ($52.11).

The main driver behind the slowed momentum has been subdued interest from institutional investors: U.S. spot Litecoin ETFs have drawn just $16.88 million in net assets overall, whereas Bitcoin ETFs can pull in over $110 million in a single day. Additionally, the continuous increase in LTC supply through mining puts extra pressure on the token’s market capitalization, making recovery a more complex endeavor compared to previous cycles.

A return of Litecoin to $70 by the end of 2026 appears unlikely without a combination of key conditions: a solid Bitcoin recovery above $82,000, a breakout above LTC’s 50-day moving average ($61.34), and consistent capital inflows into spot ETFs. Otherwise, losing support at the 200-day moving average could drag LTC quotes back toward the August lows around $43.81.