No major events are expected today.

The GBP/USD pair on February 25, 2026 is trading around 1.351–1.352, but the pound remains under pressure due to expectations of monetary easing by the Bank of England. The market is pricing in a possible rate cut in the coming months amid signs of economic cooling: weakness in the labor market and slower income growth are reducing the resilience of domestic demand and increasing sensitivity to borrowing costs.

The inflation outlook in the UK has also become less supportive for the pound: easing headline inflation reduces the need to keep rates elevated for a prolonged period. Against this backdrop, investors are closely monitoring statements from Bank of England officials and how confidently the regulator assesses the balance between inflation risks and slowdown risks. Political uncertainty further increases caution toward UK assets and periodically raises the risk premium.

From the U.S. side, the dollar is supported by expectations that the Federal Reserve will maintain tight financial conditions until inflation is firmly anchored at target levels. The combination of U.S. inflation and consumer data, along with tariff-related discussions, sustains demand for the dollar during periods of weaker sentiment. As long as rate expectations remain divergent, pressure on GBP/USD may prevail.

Recommendations: SELL 1.3525, SL 1.3555, TP 1.3435