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Bitcoin often falls in September

05.09.2025

“Since 2013, the average decline has been between 3% and 5%, and ten out of the last fifteen Septembers have closed in the red,” analysts remind. Moreover, the worst result was recorded in 2014, when the cryptocurrency lost about 20% of its value.

As experts point out, there are exceptions: in 2023 and 2024 Bitcoin ended September in positive territory, and last year’s growth exceeded 7%, making it one of the best performances in history. However, predicting a repeat of such scenarios is impossible, so seasonality should only be seen as context.

At the same time, statistics show that October and November are historically the most “bullish” months for BTC — with average growth of 29% and 38%, respectively. Added to this are the fundamental factors: institutional purchases, demand from funds, and limited supply. All this could make the rest of the year favorable for cryptocurrency holders.