Important events today:

13.02 13:30 UTC: USD – Consumer Price Index.

13.02 13:30 UTC: USD – Core Consumer Price Index (excluding food and energy).

USD/JPY on Friday, February 13, is fluctuating near 153.10: Japan has strengthened the yen amid a reassessment of political risks and reduced pressure against the national currency. Following the elections, investors view fiscal policy as more predictable, while growing interest in Japanese assets supports demand for the yen.

On the U.S. side, the key trigger of the day remains inflation data. If price growth exceeds forecasts, expectations of a prolonged period of high rates could restore support for the dollar and temporarily limit the yen’s gains. However, a softer inflation reading would strengthen expectations of rate cuts closer to mid-year and increase the likelihood of further downside in the pair, so the market is pricing in heightened volatility.

Additional significance lies in signals from Japanese officials: authorities are closely monitoring sharp exchange rate movements, and any verbal intervention could quickly shift sentiment. Combined with increased demand for safe-haven assets in global markets, this creates a foundation for yen strengthening, while any dollar recovery attempts will depend on whether U.S. data confirms persistent inflation.

Recommendations: SELL 153.10, SL 153.25, TP 152.05